Wednesday, January 30, 2008

So Long Barry Obama

Barry's lack luster performance in Florida, receiving only 33% of the establishment vote demonstrates his weakness as a Candidate for the Democratic Nomination. His support from voters under 30 whom Barry worked hard to recruit amounted to 10% His overall weakness as a viable candidate and his base of support should show voters that his likelihood to capture the nomination of the Democratic party is doubtful. Among Hispanic voters Clinton claimed 60% according to her web site.

Jewish voters do not trust him despite what he may say for his support for Israel, it could be that his association with Dr. Jeremiah Wright, minister of his church which honored Louis Farrakahn may have something to do with this? 53% of the Jewish vote went to Clinton while Obama received only 26%

Meanwhile Senator Obama received 80% of the African American vote in South Carolina, African Americans represent just over 50% of the population which calculates into only about 40% of the Democratic vote. The establishment Democratic base is not behind Senator Obama and to win an election, the first term Senator from Illinois must pull in more than just a majority of the African American vote.

Even though Senator Obama is doing remarkably well with Democratic African Americans, he still is only pandering to his small base and he must begin to appeal to the Democratic establishment if he expects to do well on Super Tuesday.

Senator Obama who only entered national politics but a few years ago now as a Junior Senator from Illinois, his time as a Illinois State Legislator and a Civil Rights Attorney, never prepared him for the real challenges as a world leader.

Priding his Liberalism which may help him to win elections in Illinois, will not resonate well with the overall General Electorate in November that consider themselves to be more Conservative and Primary voters are thinking about this when they go to the polls to choose their party candidate.

Democrats need to begin considering this much earlier on in the Primary Season and select a more centrist candidate than a true Liberal that has no real hope of winning in November.

Liberals simply do not do well in General Elections. If history is actually a good teacher, one only needs to step back and take a look how Democrats faired in recent elections.

Hubert Humphrey lost in 1968, George McGovern 1972, Jimmy Carter, 1980, Walter Mondale lost in a land slide to Ronald Reagan in 1984, Michael Dukakis lost in 1988 and John Kerry in 2000

While Super Tuesday may not decide for sure who the Liberal Democrat will be in November, it will likely demonstrate Senator Obama's weakness with the Democratic base.

Likewise whoever is the party favorite for the November elections, the Democrats will once again find themselves coming up short to win the White House in November. Liberal candidates such as Senator's Clinton or Obama can not win a General Election across the country.